The growth is in the South in emerging countries

The growth is in the South, in emerging countries. Close to Europe, the countries of the South and east shore of the Mediterranean are affected by the economic crisis but much less than Europe and quickly regain their growth rate of 5 to 7. Historic moment of reversal of growth, because at the same time the countries of the North are struggling, hardens the social climate, unemployment is progressing, deindustrialization in full swing, growth is sluggish.

Is it that Europe is forced to deindustrialization The decline, some emerging environmental and social dumping that do not meet the same requirements With a little imagination and courage, a path of strong growth can be found.

The imagination Look at the Germany, which remains an industrial countries (30 of national value added) and the world's leading exporter of manufactured goods to the elbow-to-elbow with China. For fifteen years, and to be an industrial power, the Germany has adopted a strategy of innovative - as did the Japan in the 1960s - based on the quality, the rise in range, relocations in the countries of Eastern European to keep jobs at home in the productions of high-end, research and management functions. Since the 1990s, fearing a massive influx of people coming from the CEECs, the Germany consistently delocalized fragments of the production chain in Poland, Czech Republic, Bulgarie It is is bleeding to four veins, adopted Ant behavior, savings, wages and redeployment of its productive apparatus restriction in its eastern neighbourhood.

In so doing, the populations of the Eastern European countries have stabilized, wages have increased. Maybe it had more coupling relocation, rise in power of the local social systems and professional training programs No doubt. But unemployment and economic decline of its exports, it is reasonable to say that the Germany had followed a winning strategy that puts in a structural situation more favorable than most of the countries of Western Europe. And, since 2005, it continues its relocation to the Mediterranean, particularly towards the Tunisia.

The opposite of what was in the Germany, the France too often condemns relocations close or distant, hoping to keep 100 of the value added in its employment basins. It is impossible. Continuing on this schema, deindustrialization is inevitable and unemployment can only grow. Industrialists and French politicians should recognize that an important part of the added value must relocate in southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries that are part of the Union for the Mediterranean.

Courage It should be courageous politicians who come to convince them that the "all national" is finished, the co-development with neighbours is a necessity. Only a space of 500 million Europeans and to Arab, Israeli and Turkish tomorrow 450 million, is the appropriate framework to address the economic war and war of the currencies that prepare integrated Asian regions of the is or America. Frankly, the future of Europe, it is the Mediterranean. All missing countries Europeans, youth, markets, energy, they find to the South, and conversely, all what is missing to the countries of the South and East, political governance, patent it, they are to the North.

But there is a condition to this: the Union for the Mediterranean must not be a zone of free trade as proposed by President Barroso. It must be a common public policies, protections region social and environmental high and not a simple economic opportunity carry low wages or capture hydrocarbons in the South. The UPM must assert its collective preferences: enhance proximity and reduce shipping large, expensive energy and CO2; enhance complementarity for a productive and sustainable development; promote a solidarity-based development, truly partnership, including transfer of technology, vocational training programmes, and improvement of social systems to the South. On the basis of such preferences, then could give rise to a Community preference, or even a certain dose of protectionism, to finance the social and environmental in this large Euro-Mediterranean region protection.

Would advocate a return to protectionism on a national basis or even strictly European not go in the direction of the history of the multipolar world which is organized through large areas of North-South. It must be understood that, in the interest of all Europeans and all South-Mediterranean populations, the boundaries of the common market of the future, the borders of Schengen of tomorrow, the boundaries of the welfare of the future, the borders of the environmental requirements of tomorrow, must be in the South of the Morocco, the Tunisia and the Algeria, South and East of the Lebanonthe Syria, the Jordan and the Turkey.

"If we keep not plants, it is not jobs", said President Sarkozy. All right. Agree with the idea that a strong economy cannot do without productive component. Agree with the idea that this requires the return policy and especially industrial policies. But keep a large part of our factories, to share the value with the countries of the South who are close. It is contributing to developing countries, and not China or the Brazil, it is creating in our turn of the "Mediterranean dragons" that the France and Europe will save their industry.

I'm climbing some animosity towards the Germany: behaving like an Ant, it would have abused the weakness of its eastern neighbours and would impose an increasing competition within the European Union. Too long, the France had a behavior of cicada, delaying its necessary industrial redeployment. Have the humility to admit that we blame to the Germany we could do with the southern Mediterranean countries. Have the will to transfer a portion of the value chain, and to defend all of the Euro-Mediterranean collective preferences that are found in East Asia or NAFTA.